Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000117 0.000130 0.000144 0.000160 0.000177 0.000196 0.000218
2025-11-09 0.000098 0.000115 0.000135 0.000159 0.000187 0.000220 0.000260
2025-11-16 0.000083 0.000103 0.000127 0.000157 0.000195 0.000240 0.000300
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000094 0.000121 0.000156 0.000203 0.000262 0.000343
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000087 0.000116 0.000156 0.000211 0.000284 0.000389
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000080 0.000111 0.000155 0.000217 0.000303 0.000431
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000076 0.000109 0.000157 0.000228 0.000329 0.000486
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000072 0.000106 0.000158 0.000236 0.000352 0.000538
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000068 0.000102 0.000157 0.000242 0.000371 0.000585
2026-01-04 0.000042 0.000065 0.000101 0.000159 0.000252 0.000399 0.000648
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000062 0.000099 0.000159 0.000260 0.000422 0.000705
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000059 0.000096 0.000159 0.000266 0.000442 0.000761
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000056 0.000093 0.000158 0.000271 0.000462 0.000818
2026-02-01 0.000031 0.000054 0.000091 0.000158 0.000277 0.000486 0.000884
2026-02-08 0.000029 0.000051 0.000088 0.000156 0.000281 0.000504 0.000942
2026-02-15 0.000027 0.000049 0.000086 0.000156 0.000287 0.000527 0.001009
2026-02-22 0.000026 0.000047 0.000084 0.000156 0.000294 0.000552 0.001085
2026-03-01 0.000024 0.000044 0.000081 0.000154 0.000297 0.000571 0.001149
2026-03-08 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000157 0.000308 0.000605 0.001248
2026-03-15 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000157 0.000316 0.000634 0.001337
2026-03-22 0.000021 0.000040 0.000078 0.000156 0.000320 0.000655 0.001414
2026-03-29 0.000020 0.000039 0.000077 0.000159 0.000331 0.000692 0.001528
2026-04-05 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000159 0.000339 0.000721 0.001627